Match Analysis - Italy
Del Monte: Juventus close in on Scudetto, but who will join them in Europe next season?

As Juventus cruise to a second consecutive Serie a title, the battle for European football heats up. Adrian Del Monte explains...

Juventus' 1-0 victory overnight against AC Milan surely ends any hope the Rossoneri or Napoli had of clinching an unexpected title this term. The Bianconeri have undoubtedly been the most consistent team in Italy all season, and will deservedly lift a second consecutive Scudetto in the next few weeks.

Following yet another dominant campaign, the Old Lady will be desperate to translate the form they have shown in the league into Europe's premier competition next term, but just who will be joining them?

Napoli (currently 2nd, 66pts)

The Azzurri have been Juve's main challengers all season, and have maintained a spot amongst the top three for the large majority of the campaign. With a relatively easy run home, the club will be very confident of making an immediate return to the UEFA Champions League in 2013-14, following a brief one year absence, which should mean the club keep hold of star players Edinson Cavani and Marek Hamsik for at least one more season.

With Juventus likely to place a little more focus on their continental performance next term, perhaps with a couple of quality additions Napoli could pose a serious threat to the Old Lady's dominance of Italy in the next 12 months.

Remaining fixtures: (predicted results in bold)

@ Pescara (W)

Inter (W)

@ Bologna (W)

Siena (W)

@ Roma (D)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 2nd (79 points)

AC Milan (3rd, 59pts)

The Rossoneri have fought back remarkably well since their dismal start, which had many questioning whether or not they would finish in the top half, let alone be pushing for UCL qualification. The fact that they are well and truly in with a chance is sensational in itself, however this proud club will want to take full advantage of the opportunity.

Since acquiring Mario Balotelli from Manchester City, and thanks to the continual growth and progression of players such as Stephan El Shaarawy, M'Baye Niang and Riccardo Montolivo, the seven-time European champions have gone from strength to strength, and will need to pick up a few crucial results in the closing match days to secure their place in the showpiece tournament next term.

Remaining fixtures:

Catania (W)

Torino (W)

@ Pescara (W)

Roma (D)

@ Siena (W)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 3rd (72 points)

Fiorentina (4th, 58pts)

La Viola have been the surprise packets of the 2012-13 Serie A campaign. Following the addition of a number of key players, the club have relived some of its glory days under new manager Vincenzo Montella. With so much quality at his disposal, it will be great to see the club back in Europe next term - whether it be in the UCL, or at the very least the Europa League.

Similar to Milan, they too have a few must win clashes, but with a slightly easier run home, it looks as if their Milanese rivals will narrowly edge Fiorentina out for the third and final position.

Remaining fixtures:

@ Sampdoria (D)

Roma (W)

@ Siena (D)

Palermo (W)

@ Pescara (W)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 4th (69 points)

Inter (5th, 53pts)

Another disappointing season for Massimo Moratti's Inter could see them settle for a Europa League position yet again next term, as they look to rectify their ongoing issues - an ageing squad, an ageing president and a lack of consistency in management. It has been a dramatic slide for the Nerazzurri. After being crowned champions of Europe in 2010, the club has really struggled both domestically and in Europe.

Despite currently occupying the fifth European qualifying position for next season, the Milanese outfit will still need to pick up a few results to ensure that either of the Roman clubs or Udinese don't make a late charge.

Remaining fixtures:

Palermo (W)

@ Napoli (L)

Lazio (D)

@ Genoa (W)

Udinese (D)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 6th (61 points)

Roma (6th, 52pts)

The Giallorossi have showed glimpses of brilliance this season, however last night's appalling 1-1 draw at home to the soon to be relegated Pescara, summed up their past nine months. Creative, exciting and attacking, yet continual failure to fire when required. Despite possessing the equal best strike force statistically alongside Juventus, the Romans have the second worst defence in the competition, having conceded a whopping 54 goals in 33 fixtures.

With the toughest run home out of all top eight clubs, I Lupi will certainly be relying on victory in their Coppa Italia final against rivals Lazio next month. When it comes to predicting results for this club, don't take anything predicted below to be gospel, as they could attain anywhere from zero to 15 points in the remaining matches.

Remaining fixtures:

Siena (W)

@ Fiorentina (L)

Chievo (W)

@ Milan (D)

Napoli (D)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 7th (60 points)

Udinese (7th, 51pts)

The ever consistent Udinese, led by their talisman Antonio Di Natale, have been at it again. Each and every year they are stripped of their star players, seem destined to struggle, yet somehow find a way to pose a threat for European football - with this season being no exception.

While their results in Europe have been extremely underwhelming in recent seasons, it would be a phenomenal achievment if the club were to finish in the top five, particularly given their struggles in the first half of the campaign. Always capable of recordng a crucial result, the Zebrette should never be ruled out of contention.

Remaining fixtures:

@ Cagliari (W)

Sampdoria (D)

@ Palermo (W)

Atalanta (W)

@ Inter (D)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 5th (62 points)

Lazio (8th, 51pts)

The Aquile are in a very similar position to that of their fierce rivals - a tricky final five rounds, and a Coppa Italia final awaiting them, which is likely to be their main hope of playing at a continental level in the 2013-14 season. The wheels have fallen off ever so slightly in recent weeks however, and the weekend's 1-0 defeat to Udinese proved to be the most costly result of the current capaign, as they slumped outside the top six for the first time since the opening match day of the season.

Like many of their opponents, there is plenty of quality in this squad, the only issue being whether or not they have left their run home a little late. Most neutrals will be hoping that the Biancocelesti and their Roman rivals don't finish in the top five, to ensure a spiteful Cup final next month.

Remaining fixtures:

@ Parma (L)

Bologna (W)

@ Inter (D)

Sampdoria (D)

@ Cagliari (W)

 

EXPECTED FINISH: 8th (59 points)

So while it seems likely that the top three will remain unchanged, the race for the final Europa League spots will be just as thrilling. In a positive sign for Italian football, the top eight clubs look certain to be equally as competitive again next season, hopefully for their sake ensuring a competitive effort in both the UCL and Europa League competitions.

With fierce rivals Roma and Lazio locking horns in the Coppa Italia final, one of those two clubs will be assured of a spot in the Europa League, so it is likely that Udinese and Inter will battle it our for the remaining spot in Europe on the final match day, alongside Juventus, Napoli, AC Milan and Fiorentina.

Do you agree with Adrian's predictions? Who do you think will qualify for Europe next season? Feel free to have your say, by leaving a comment below...

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Lazio 3-1 Inter: Reja's men miss out on Champions League despite convincing victory over Inter
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When Lazio hosted Inter in Stadio Olimpico, both the teams still had a slim chance of qualifying for the champions league. But there hopes rested on what happened on other matches around the league.

Inter started the match strongly. The 4-1-4-1 formation in which they started gave them lot of width. There full-backs Micon and Nagatomo causing Lazio lot of problems. But most of the times their final pass let them down and so did their finishing. Eventually the Nerazzurri managed to took the lead, this time again the chance was created by Micon. The Brazilian was fouled by Lazio’s defensive midfielder Ledesma in the box. Milito made not mistake from the spot as Inter took a 1-0 lead into the half-time.

In the second half the match opened up a lot, it became an end to end affair. Inter managed to hog most of the possession, but were unable to get past the tight Lazio defense. Lazio on the other hand played on the counter and looked dangerous every time they moved forward. Lazio drew level in the 58th minute of the match as Libor Kozak scored with a powerful header from the corner.

In the 63rd minute of the match, Lulic went on a great run down the left hand-side and cut back the ball from the by-line towards the on-rushing Candreva. The Italian had the calmness and composure to take a touch and then place the ball in the right hand corner of the net. Biancazzurri attacked mainly down the left-hand side of the pitch as Maicon’s adventurous forward runs left lot of space for Candreva and Lulic to exploit.

Inter’s midfield lacked creativity in the final third and it was proved by the fact that Nagatomo was their most dangerous player in the offensive third. Milito tried his best but didn’t receive any quality supply from the likes of Guarin and Poli, while the experience due of Cambiasso and Zanetti were unable to stamp their authority in the game. There only real chance came in the 82nd minute of the match when substitute Giampaolo Pazzini hit the post from a tight angle.

Stefano Mauri put the icing on the cake in the 91st minute as the Italian scored to put the game beyond doubt. Konko's initial shot was brilliantly saved by Castellazzi, but the rebound was drilled home by Mauri. It was the 3rd goal of the season for the Italian International.

In the end the scoreline depicted a very clinical performance by Lazio. But sadly for Edoardo Reja and his men will have to settle for a Europa League spot next season as Udinese won their match against Catania and finished third in the league.

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Juventus 3-1 Atalanta: Del Piero on target in final Juve game as champions maintain unbeaten run
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Champions Juventus earned a comfortable 3-1 home win against Atalanta, which ensured they finish the 2011/2012 Serie A season unbeaten.

Atalanta had the first chance of the match in the 2nd minute, when German Denis made a turn and shot on goal only to find goalkeeper Marco Storari on the ball’s path.

Juventus responded five minutes later, as captain Alessandro Del Piero launched a long ball for Marco Borriello, whose shot lacked precision and went out.

The home side did go in front three minutes after that, and once again Borriello was involved. The big striker created space for himself in the area and played a delightful back-heeled pass for Luca Marrone, who fired the ball in with a powerful diagonal shot.

In the 16th minute, Juve came close to scoring again, as Simone Padoin made a run into the area and, instead of trying a shot from a good position, played it back to Del Piero, who was well-marked by the Atalanta defence.

Just before the half hour mark, Del Piero made it 2-0 for the hosts, firing a low shot from outside the area that went past goalkeeper Giorgio Frezzolini.

Atalanta quickly responded a couple of minutes later, as Denis made a nice run, going past Giorgio Chiellini, but his final shot with his left foot went well over the bar.

The former Napoli midfielder was dangerous again for the visitors in the 33rd minute, when he played in a nice ball into the area for Riccardo Cazzola, forcing Chiellini to make a difficult tackle to clear the ball.

Juve were dangerous again a minute before half time, when Padoin fired a sudden, powerful shot from inside the area, but his shot was very well saved by Frezzolini.

The second half began with no changes in either side. Atalanta showed some good spirit early on, and in the 57th minute Minotti fired a fine shot from outside the area that was deflected for a corner by Leonardo Bonucci.

Del Piero, playing his last league match for the club, was substituted on the hour mark to a rousing applause, and clearly showed his emotion as he was taken off for Simone Pepe.

Five minutes later, the visitors came close again as Bonaventura fired a powerful diagonal shot that had to be deflected on the post by Storari.

In the 75th minute, Juve threatened as Fabio Quagliarella fired a right-footed shot that was dangerously deflected, but Frezzolini managed to keep it out.

Atalanta reduced their deficit in the 83rd minute, when on a cross by Manolo Gabbiadini, Stephan Lichtsteiner deflected the ball into his own net in an attempt to anticipate Carmona.

However, the hosts restored their two-goal lead in the 90th minute, when they were awarded a penalty for a foul by Thomas Manfredini on Borriello. Andrea Barzagli stepped up to take the penalty and scored with a high, powerful shot.

Thus, Juventus capped off their impressive title-winning season with another win, which ensured they finish the league season unbeaten.

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Inter 4-2 AC Milan: Milito grabs hat-trick as Rossoneri fall short at the final hurdle
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’s nerves were showing right from the start in this Derby della Madonnina as Inter were in charge for long periods of the first half, and it was Inter who deservedly took the lead on 14 minutes through Diego Milito. Wesley Sneijder’s free kick found Walter Samuel who in turn pulled the ball back across to the Argentinian who didnt need any encouragement to slot the ball past Christian Abbiati.

After 32 minutes Inter thought they had doubled their lead when Esteban Cambiasso’s header was dramatically clawed away on the line by Abbiati, while Inter players were adament the ball had crossed the line, the referee and his officials decided otherwise. Abbiati then had to be replaced by Marco Amelia due to his acrobatic goalkeeping antics.

It was Milan who went into the break the happier despite more controversy, as Kevin Prince-Boateng was brought down in the box by Julio Cesar. However replays show that it was a fair take from Inter’s keeper and should not have been a penalty. Zlatan Ibrahimovic stepped up though, and slotted home with ease putting Milan back level going into the break.

The second half started with fireworks in the stands, and fireworks on the pitch as it took Ibrahimovic just 1 minute to strike as he put Milan 1-2 ahead. Shortly after it was Inter’s turn to win a penalty when Ignazio Abate brought down Diego Milito in the box, the Argentinian cooly fired the ball past Amelia to draw things level.

After a series of end to end battles, the referee then controversially awarded another penalty to Inter for a handling offence involving Alessandro Nesta. The resulting spot kick put Inter back in front as Milito finished once again. The match was wrapped up shortly after, when Douglas Maicon fired in a wonder strike to not only finish the match, but end Milan’s Scudetto hopes once and for all.

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Cagliari 0-2 Juventus: Fortune favours the Old Lady as the Scudetto is secured
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 goal and a unfortunate  own goal secured a win and even more importantly the  for  .

Vucinic got the old lady off to a flying start when he slid the ball under the on rushing keeper after Leonardo Bonucci floated a long ball over the Rossoblu back line.

There was a worrying moment for the home side half way through the first half when  was stretched from the field wearing a neck brace after he collided with .

Just before the interval Pinilla unleashed a ferocious shot from at least thirty five yards which whistled just inches wide of ’s goal, The Bianconeri should have considered themselves lucky to go in at the break with their lead still intact.

Juve’s luck seemed to carry over into the second half when claims for a Sardi penalty where turned down, had the spot kick been award  would have surely been dismissed for second yellow card.

The footballing gods where certainly shining on Juventus when Michele Canini sliced a clearance over his own keeper and into the back of his own net handing the Scudetto to the Bianconeri on a silver platter.

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